US Elections Prediction

The official Felix analysis predicts a victory for Obama with 309 electoral college votes to McCain's 229.

I have analyzed every opinion poll for every state that matters and made some judgments based on voter suppression, the general trending of the last few days plus the last minute bump that Obama will get; the death of his grandmother, general momentum toward him etc.

I have had to make some tough calls on states that are too close to call, (college seats in brackets) these are Indiana(11), Minnesota (11)Ohio (20) and Florida (27) - it is entirely feasible that Obama will win all of these but the fraud and voter suppression in Ohio and Florida is to endemic and the polls too close to lift them in Obama's favor. - in my opinion. In the real world I would give Florida to Obama because McCain has hardly ever led in an poll there..but the east west corridor will swing it to McCain, like it did Bush in 2004 and voter anomalies in the 2004 elections, in that area, are off the scale! (according to the results 90% 'voted' bush in that east west corridor even though the majority of residents are registered democrats!!)

So there you have it. At the end of the day Obama will win decisively and that is all that matters. And I would put the Champagne on ice if he wins Indiana at 6pm then open it if he takes Florida at 7.30pm